Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.116874 0.130403 0.144253 0.159451 0.175621 0.192273 0.210679
2024-10-20 0.098648 0.117264 0.137041 0.159482 0.184109 0.210188 0.239770
2024-10-27 0.084087 0.105997 0.130071 0.158196 0.189875 0.224196 0.263934
2024-11-03 0.074063 0.098571 0.126331 0.159603 0.197918 0.240218 0.290012
2024-11-10 0.067213 0.094013 0.125214 0.163452 0.208321 0.258637 0.318676
2024-11-17 0.059367 0.087471 0.121124 0.163295 0.213693 0.271060 0.340386
2024-11-24 0.054450 0.084043 0.120366 0.166754 0.223047 0.287916 0.367116
2024-12-01 0.049144 0.079615 0.117975 0.167900 0.229400 0.301111 0.389524
2024-12-08 0.043873 0.074752 0.114646 0.167559 0.233702 0.311710 0.408782
2024-12-15 0.039748 0.071070 0.112534 0.168489 0.239362 0.323796 0.429724
2024-12-22 0.035405 0.066695 0.109200 0.167599 0.242565 0.332785 0.446890
2024-12-29 0.033005 0.064908 0.109166 0.170844 0.250852 0.347895 0.471389
2025-01-05 0.029793 0.061742 0.107190 0.171591 0.256144 0.359615 0.492211
2025-01-12 0.026632 0.058363 0.104699 0.171484 0.260233 0.369800 0.511172
2025-01-19 0.023412 0.054567 0.101372 0.170052 0.262469 0.377597 0.527179
2025-01-26 0.021293 0.052374 0.100215 0.171471 0.268347 0.389917 0.548752
2025-02-02 0.020026 0.051512 0.100947 0.175464 0.277600 0.406506 0.575661
2025-02-09 0.017862 0.048843 0.098793 0.175280 0.281223 0.415923 0.593661
2025-02-16 0.016753 0.047983 0.099339 0.178884 0.289899 0.431788 0.619749
2025-02-23 0.015219 0.046155 0.098262 0.180074 0.295271 0.443408 0.640536
2025-03-02 0.013515 0.043794 0.096194 0.179713 0.298461 0.452175 0.657727
2025-03-09 0.012217 0.042094 0.095086 0.180682 0.303419 0.463209 0.677786
2025-03-16 0.010709 0.039749 0.092773 0.179750 0.305678 0.470685 0.693316